Co-amplification of genes in chromosome 8q24: a robust prognostic marker in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of tumor-associated death worldwide, owing to its high 5-year postoperative recurrence rate and inter-individual heterogeneity. Thus, a prognostic model is urgently needed for patients with HCC. Several researches have reported that copy number amplification of the 8q24 chromosomal region is associated with low survival in many cancers. In the present work, we set out to construct a multi-gene model for prognostic prediction in HCC.

RNA sequencing and copy number variant data of tumor tissue samples of HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (n=328) were used to identify differentially expressed messenger RNAs of genes located on the chromosomal 8q24 region by the Wilcox test. Univariate Cox and Lasso-Cox regression analyses were carried out for the screening and construction of a prognostic multi-gene signature in The Cancer Genome Atlas cohort (n=119). The multi-gene signature was validated in a cohort from the International Cancer Genome Consortium (n=240). A nomogram for prognostic prediction was built, and the underpinning molecular mechanisms were studied by Gene Set Enrichment Analysis.

We successfully established a 7-gene prognostic signature model to predict the prognosis of patients with HCC. Using the model, we divided individuals into high-risk and low-risk sets, which showed a significant difference in overall survival in the training dataset (HR =0.17, 95% CI: 0.1-0.28; P<0.001) and in the testing dataset (HR = 0.42, 95% CI: 0.23-0.74; P=0.002). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed the signature to be an independent prognostic factor of HCC survival. A nomogram including the prognostic signature was constructed and showed a better predictive performance in short-term (1 and 3 years) than in long-term (5 years) survival. Furthermore, Gene Set Enrichment Analysis identified several pathways of significance, which may aid in explaining the underlying molecular mechanism.

Our 7-gene signature is a reliable prognostic marker for HCC, which may provide meaningful information for therapeutic customization and treatment-related decision making.