Diagnostic Accuracy of Machine Learning Models to Identify Congenital Heart Disease: A Meta-Analysis

Zahra Hoodbhoy1, Uswa Jiwani1, Saima Sattar1

  • 1Department of Pediatrics and Child Health at the Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.

Insights

Machine learning models, particularly neural networks, show high accuracy in diagnosing congenital heart disease (CHD). This technology offers a promising solution for accurate CHD detection, even with limited trained healthcare professionals.

Area of Science:

  • Medical Informatics
  • Cardiology
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Shortage of trained professionals for congenital heart disease (CHD) diagnosis.
  • Increasing development and application of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the diagnostic accuracy of ML models for detecting CHD.
  • To synthesize evidence on ML's performance in CHD diagnosis.

Main Methods:

  • Comprehensive literature search across major databases (PubMed, CINAHL, Wiley Cochrane Library, Web of Science).
  • Inclusion of studies reporting ML diagnostic ability for CHD against a reference standard.
  • Risk of bias assessment using QUADAS-2 and HSROC curve generation for meta-analysis.

Main Results:

  • 16 studies with 1217 participants were included.
  • Neural networks demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy: 90.9% sensitivity and 92.7% specificity.
  • Significant risks of bias were noted in patient selection, index test, and flow/timing across studies.

Conclusions:

  • ML models, especially neural networks, show potential for accurate CHD diagnosis.
  • ML can aid in CHD detection where trained personnel are scarce.
  • Heterogeneity in training data and diagnostic criteria presents a key limitation.