Identifying high-risk surgical patients: A study of older adults whose code status changed to Do-Not-Resuscitate

There is a paucity of data on older adults (age ≥65 years) undergoing surgery who had an inpatient do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order, and the association between timing of DNR order and outcomes.

This was a retrospective analysis of 1976 older adults in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program geriatric-specific database (2014-2018). Patients were stratified by institution of a DNR order during their surgical admission ("new-DNR" vs. "no-DNR"), and matched by age (±3 years), frailty score (range: 0-1), and procedure. The main outcome of interest was occurrence of death or hospice transition (DoH) ≤30 postoperative days; this was analyzed using bivariate and multivariable methods.

One in 36 older adults had a new-DNR order. After matching, there were 988 new-DNR and 988 no-DNR patients. Median age and frailty score were 82 years and 0.2, respectively. Most underwent orthopedic (47.6%), general (37.6%), and vascular procedures (8.4%). Overall DoH rate ≤30 days was 44.4% for new-DNR versus 4.0% for no-DNR patients (p < 0.001). DoH rate for patients who had DNR orders placed in the preoperative, day of surgery, and postoperative setting was 16.7%, 23.3%, and 64.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, compared to no-DNR patients, those with a new-DNR order had a 28-fold higher adjusted odds of DoH (odds ratio [OR] 28.1, 95% confidence interval: 13.0-60.1, p < 0.001); however, odds were 10-fold lower if the DNR order was placed preoperatively (OR: 5.8, p = 0.003) versus postoperatively (OR: 52.9, p < 0.001). Traditional markers of poor postoperative outcomes such as American Society of Anesthesiologists class and emergency surgery were not independently associated with DoH.

An inpatient DNR order was associated with risk of DoH independent of traditional markers of poor surgical outcomes. Further research is needed to understand factors leading to a DNR order that may aid early recognition of high-risk older adults undergoing surgery.