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Identifying Coronary Artery Calcification on Non-gated Computed Tomography Scans
Published on: August 28, 2018
Examining the Potential for Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) Scoring for Individuals at Low Cardiovascular Risk
David Playford1, Christian Hamilton-Craig2, Girish Dwivedi3
1The University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, WA, Australia.
Insights
Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scoring offers a superior method for predicting cardiovascular events compared to traditional risk calculators. This approach provides a more accurate assessment of atherosclerotic burden, even in individuals considered low-risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Preventative Medicine
- Radiology
Background:
- Atherosclerosis is a leading cause of death, with current cardiovascular (CV) risk calculators showing limitations in identifying individuals at imminent risk.
- Therapeutic uncertainty arises from the imprecision of "intermediate" or "low" risk stratification, leading to unexpected myocardial infarctions in these groups.
- Probabilistic risk calculators do not directly measure atherosclerosis, necessitating alternative approaches for accurate risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the evidence for Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) screening in low-risk individuals.
- To propose a new model for more widespread CAC utilization to enhance CV risk prediction.
- To address the clinical conundrum of CV prevention in non-high-risk populations.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing evidence on CAC scoring in asymptomatic individuals.
- Analysis of CAC scores as a predictor of CV events.
- Examination of the utility of CAC in differentiating between "low" and "intermediate" CV risk categories.
Main Results:
- Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scoring by low-dose computed tomography (CT) provides a direct measure of atherosclerotic burden.
- CAC has emerged as a strong predictor of CV events in asymptomatic individuals, independent of traditional risk factors.
- A zero CAC score indicates a very low future event rate, while non-zero scores correlate with a progressive increase in risk.
Conclusions:
- The distinction between "intermediate" and "low" CV risk based solely on probabilistic calculators may require re-evaluation.
- CAC scoring is a valuable tool for refining CV risk prediction, particularly in individuals not identified as high-risk by conventional methods.
- Wider implementation of CAC screening, potentially using a new model, could improve preventative cardiology strategies.
Abstract:
Atherosclerosis is the commonest cause of death in Australia. Cardiovascular (CV) risk calculators have an important role in preventative cardiology, although they are are strongly age-dependent and designed to identify individuals at high risk of an imminent event. The imprecision around "intermediate" or "low" risk generates therapeutic uncertainty, and a significant proportion of patients presenting with myocardial infarction come from these groups, often with no warning. This highlights a conundrum: "Low" risk does not mean "no" risk. A fresh approach may be required to address the clinical conundrum around CV preventative approaches in non-high-risk individuals. While probabilistic calculators do not measure atherosclerosis, calculation of Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scores by low-dose computed tomography (CT) can provide a snapshot of atherosclerotic burden. In intermediate-risk individuals, CAC is well-established as an aid to CV risk prediction. Although CAC scoring in low-risk asymptomatic people may be considered controversial, CAC has emerged as the single best predictor of CV events in asymptomatic individuals, independent of traditional risk factor calculators. Therefore, apart from the contribution of age and sex, the somewhat arbitrary distinction between "intermediate" and "low" CV risk using probabilistic calculators may need to be reconsidered. A zero CAC score has a very low future event rate and non-zero CAC scores are associated with a progressive, graded increase in risk as the CAC score rises. Here, we examine the evidence for CAC screening in low-risk individuals, and propose more widespread use of CAC using simple new model intended to enhance established CV risk prediction equations.
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