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A Multiattention-Based Supervised Feature Selection Method for Multivariate Time Series.

Li Cao1, Yanting Chen2, Zhiyang Zhang2

  • 1School of Information, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, Hangzhou, China.

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This study introduces a novel multi-attention method for supervised feature selection in multivariate time series (MTS) prediction. The approach effectively identifies relevant variables and delays, outperforming existing methods on diverse datasets.

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Area of Science:

  • Data Science
  • Machine Learning
  • Time Series Analysis

Background:

  • Feature selection is crucial for multivariate time series (MTS) prediction, requiring identification of relevant variables and delays.
  • Nonlinear and noisy systems pose significant challenges for traditional MTS feature selection.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a multi-attention-based supervised feature selection method for MTS prediction.
  • To address the challenges of variable and delay selection in complex, noisy systems.

Main Methods:

  • A novel multi-attention mechanism is employed, translating feature weight generation into a bidirectional attention problem.
  • Two parallel attention modules process 1D data slices from orthogonal directions, generating dimension-specific weights.
  • A global weight generation method combines these weights via dot product for a holistic feature perspective.
  • Final feature weights are stabilized using training set statistics to mitigate noise and feature duplication.

Main Results:

  • The proposed method demonstrated superior performance across synthesized, small, medium, and practical industrial datasets.
  • It outperformed several state-of-the-art baseline feature selection techniques.

Conclusions:

  • The multi-attention-based supervised feature selection method effectively handles variable and delay selection in MTS prediction.
  • This approach offers a robust solution for complex, noisy time series data, achieving state-of-the-art results.