The Effect of COVID-19 on Adult Cardiac Surgery in the United States in 717103 Patients

Tom C Nguyen1, Vinod H Thourani2, Alexander P Nissen3

  • 1Department of Surgery, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California.

Insights

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant drop in adult cardiac surgeries nationwide, especially elective procedures. Mortality rates for some surgeries increased, and surgical volumes did not fully recover post-surge.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Public Health
  • Health Services Research

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound global impact, with the United States experiencing a high mortality rate.
  • Limited data exists on the effects of COVID-19 on adult cardiac surgery trends and outcomes nationally and regionally.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the impact of COVID-19 on adult cardiac surgery volume, trends, and outcomes.
  • To assess national and regional variations in surgical case reduction and mortality during the pandemic.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (2018-2020) and the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 database (2020-2021).
  • Analyzed surgical and COVID-19 volumes, trends, and outcomes on national and regional levels.
  • Employed observed-to-expected ratios to evaluate risk-adjustable mortality.

Main Results:

  • Analyzed 717,103 adult cardiac surgery patients and over 20 million COVID-19 patients.
  • Observed a 52.7% national reduction in adult cardiac surgery volume, with a 65.5% decrease in elective cases.
  • The Mid-Atlantic and New England regions experienced significant reductions (up to 80% for elective cases) and a 1.48-fold increase in observed-to-expected mortality for isolated coronary bypass surgery during the initial surge.
  • Nationwide cardiac surgery volumes did not return to pre-pandemic baseline levels.

Conclusions:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic led to a dramatic decrease in adult cardiac surgery volume.
  • The Mid-Atlantic and New England regions were disproportionately affected during the initial COVID-19 surge.
  • A concurrent rise in observed-to-expected 30-day mortality was noted alongside the reduction in surgical procedures.
Abstract

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