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Unequal allotment of patients in phase III oncology clinical trials
Shruti Gupta1, Shefali Jain1, Justin Yeh1
1Medical College of Georgia, Augusta University Augusta, GA 30909, USA.
Abstract:
Patient enrollment in cancer clinical trials has traditionally been limited to an equal distribution between cases and controls, however recently some clinical trials have utilized an unequal distribution between the case and control arms. Trends and proportion of phase 3 cancer clinical trials that have an unequal allocation between the years 2010 and 2019 were studied from data extracted from clinicaltrials.gov. 323 trials with two arms and 35 trials with 3 arms were identified as randomized control trials with the primary purpose of a cancer-related treatment that provided allocation data. Amongst the trials with two arms, 238 trials had equal allocation and 85 trials had unequal allocation. Therefore, cancer clinical trials with unequal allocation represent about one in four 2-arm phase 3 trials. Amongst the eligible trials with three arms, 26 trials had equal allocation and 9 trials had unequal allocation. There was no significant difference in the annual proportion of trials with unequal allocation from 2010 to 2019. The categories of cancer which had the highest number of unequally allotted two-arm clinical trials were: gastrointestinal, breast, and genitourinary malignancies. This shift may represent a new trend in clinical trial design to help enhance closer monitoring of adverse events despite higher costs and lower statistical power attached to this method.
Insights
Unequal patient allocation in phase 3 cancer clinical trials is becoming more common, representing about one in four two-arm trials. This trend, observed between 2010-2019, may aid adverse event monitoring.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Clinical Trial Design
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Traditionally, cancer clinical trials employed equal distribution between case and control arms.
- Recent trends indicate a shift towards unequal allocation in some cancer clinical trials.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the trends and proportion of phase 3 cancer clinical trials utilizing unequal allocation between 2010 and 2019.
- To identify cancer types most frequently using unequal allocation in trial design.
Main Methods:
- Data were extracted from clinicaltrials.gov for randomized controlled trials focused on cancer treatment.
- Trials with available allocation data from 2010-2019 were analyzed, categorizing them by arm number (2 or 3) and allocation type (equal vs. unequal).
Main Results:
- Out of 323 two-arm trials, 85 (approximately 26%) exhibited unequal allocation.
- Among 35 three-arm trials, 9 (approximately 26%) showed unequal allocation.
- Gastrointestinal, breast, and genitourinary cancers were most frequently associated with unequally allocated two-arm trials.
- No significant change in the annual proportion of unequally allocated trials was observed from 2010 to 2019.
Conclusions:
- Unequal allocation is a notable design feature in approximately one-quarter of phase 3, two-arm cancer clinical trials.
- This design may be adopted to enhance adverse event monitoring, despite potential drawbacks like increased costs and reduced statistical power.
- Further research may explore the long-term impact and rationale behind this evolving trial design trend.
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