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Comparative Study of Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting the Compressive Strength of Concrete at
Ayaz Ahmad1,2, Krzysztof Adam Ostrowski2, Mariusz Maślak2
1Department of Civil Engineering, Abbottabad Campus, COMSATS University Islamabad, Abbottabad 22060, Pakistan.
Machine learning models accurately predict concrete compressive strength at high temperatures. Ensemble algorithms, particularly gradient boosting, show enhanced performance, aiding in material science applications.
Area of Science:
- Materials Science
- Civil Engineering
- Computer Science
Background:
- High temperatures negatively impact concrete's ingredient properties, reducing its strength.
- Predicting concrete compressive strength is challenging and time-consuming.
- Supervised machine learning offers a viable solution for accurate strength prediction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To forecast the compressive strength of concrete exposed to high temperatures.
- To evaluate the performance of various machine learning algorithms for this prediction task.
- To identify the most effective machine learning approach for concrete strength assessment.
Main Methods:
- Utilized supervised machine learning models: Decision Tree (DT), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Bagging, and Gradient Boosting (GB).
- Employed Python coding in Anaconda Navigator with 207 data points.
- Input parameters included water, cement, aggregates, admixtures, and temperature; output was compressive strength.
Main Results:
- Ensemble algorithms (Bagging and Gradient Boosting) achieved high R² values (0.90 and 0.88, respectively).
- Individual DT and ANN models showed R² of 0.83 and 0.82.
- Statistical indicators (R², MAE, MSE, RMSE) and k-fold cross-validation confirmed the superior performance of ensemble methods.
Conclusions:
- Ensemble machine learning algorithms significantly enhance the prediction accuracy of concrete compressive strength at high temperatures.
- Sensitivity analysis indicated the contribution of each input variable to the model's performance.
- Machine learning provides an efficient tool for predicting concrete performance under thermal stress.
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