Increasing plasma glucose before the development of type 1 diabetes-the TRIGR study

Johnny Ludvigsson1, David Cuthbertson2, Dorothy J Becker3

  • 1Crown Princess Victoria Children's Hospital and Div of Pediatrics, Dept of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Linköping university, Linköping, Sweden.

Pediatric Diabetes
|August 9, 2021
PubMed

Insights

Increased plasma glucose and HbA1c levels precede type 1 diabetes development. While glucose changes predict clinical diabetes, HbA1c changes are linked to autoantibodies and disease onset, supporting the β-cell stress hypothesis.

Area of Science:

  • Endocrinology
  • Immunology
  • Pediatrics

Background:

  • The β-cell stress hypothesis posits that increased insulin demand contributes to type 1 diabetes development.
  • Assessing metabolic profiles before clinical diagnosis is crucial for understanding disease pathogenesis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the relationship between plasma glucose and HbA1c levels and the development of autoantibodies or clinical type 1 diabetes in at-risk children.
  • To evaluate the predictive value of changes in glucose and HbA1c for disease progression.

Main Methods:

  • A prospective cohort study of 2159 children with a family history of diabetes and increased HLA risk was conducted.
  • Kaplan-Meier curves and mixed-effects models were used to analyze plasma glucose and HbA1c data over time.
  • Data were collected between 2002-2007 and followed until 2017.

Main Results:

  • A family history of type 2 diabetes was associated with increased plasma glucose (p < 0.001).
  • Increases in plasma glucose predicted clinical diabetes (p < 0.001), while increases in HbA1c predicted both autoantibody development and clinical diabetes (p < 0.003 and p < 0.001, respectively).
  • Children progressing to clinical disease had higher HbA1c than those developing autoantibodies.

Conclusions:

  • Significant increases in plasma glucose and HbA1c precede the clinical onset of type 1 diabetes.
  • The association between metabolic markers and autoantibody development is complex.
  • Findings support the hypothesis that increased insulin demand contributes to type 1 diabetes pathogenesis.
Abstract

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