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Interrelationships Among Fertility, Internal Migration,and Proximity to Nonresident Family:A Multilevel Multiprocess
Michael J Thomas1, Lars Dommermuth2
1Statistics Norway, Research Department, Oslo, Norway; Population Research Centre, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Demography
|August 11, 2021
Summary
Family proximity influences fertility and migration decisions. Living near family encourages transitions to motherhood and reduces later migrations, highlighting the interconnectedness of life events.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Sociology
- Family Studies
Background:
- Previous research indicates family ties affect fertility and migration independently.
- The interplay between fertility, migration, and family proximity remains underexplored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the simultaneous relationships between fertility, migration, and proximity to nonresident family.
- To analyze how family proximity influences childbearing and migration patterns in early adulthood.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of Norwegian women aged 18-31 was tracked.
- A multilevel multiprocess statistical framework was employed to estimate fertility, migration, and family proximity equations concurrently.
- Unobserved heterogeneity and selection effects were accounted for.
Main Results:
- Proximity to nonresident family positively impacts transitions to motherhood.
- Having children is linked to decreased migration propensities.
- Local family presence reduces second and third migration propensities.
- A small positive effect of family proximity on first migrations was observed after controlling for selection.
Conclusions:
- Fertility, migration, and family proximity decisions are jointly determined and endogenous.
- Simultaneous analysis is crucial to avoid bias in demographic research.
- The concept of 'linked lives' is supported in early adulthood.
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