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Updated: Oct 24, 2025

Evaluation of Left Ventricular Structure and Function using 3D Echocardiography
Published on: October 28, 2020
Clinical Risk Prediction in Patients With Left Ventricular Myocardial Noncompaction
Guillem Casas1, Javier Limeres2, Gerard Oristrell1
1Cardiology Department, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca, Departament de Medicina, Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red en Enfermedades Cardiovasculares, Madrid, Spain.
Insights
Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) increases risks for heart failure and arrhythmias. A validated prediction model using clinical factors and imaging can identify patients with no major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Cardiovascular Imaging
- Clinical Prediction Models
Background:
- Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is a complex heart muscle disease with an unpredictable prognosis.
- Understanding risk factors and outcomes in LVNC is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a prediction model for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with LVNC.
- To identify characteristics of LVNC patients who remain event-free during long-term follow-up.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective, longitudinal, multicenter cohort study of 585 LVNC patients.
- MACE defined as heart failure, ventricular arrhythmias, systemic embolisms, or all-cause mortality.
- Prediction model developed using Cox regression and validated externally.
Main Results:
- MACE occurred in 38% of patients over a median of 5.1 years.
- Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was the strongest predictor of MACE.
- Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) added risk information for MACE in patients with preserved LVEF.
- A prediction model achieved a C-index of 0.72 in validation.
Conclusions:
- LVNC is associated with significant risks of heart failure and ventricular arrhythmias.
- LVEF is a primary MACE predictor, with LGE providing additional prognostic value.
- A validated risk prediction model can aid in managing LVNC patients.
Background:
Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is a heterogeneous entity with uncertain prognosis.
Objectives:
This study sought to develop and validate a prediction model of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and to identify LVNC cases without events during long-term follow-up.
Methods:
This is a retrospective longitudinal multicenter cohort study of consecutive patients fulfilling LVNC criteria by echocardiography or cardiovascular magnetic resonance. MACE were defined as heart failure (HF), ventricular arrhythmias (VAs), systemic embolisms, or all-cause mortality.
Results:
A total of 585 patients were included (45 ± 20 years of age, 57% male). LV ejection fraction (LVEF) was 48% ± 17%, and 18% presented late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). After a median follow-up of 5.1 years, MACE occurred in 223 (38%) patients: HF in 110 (19%), VAs in 87 (15%), systemic embolisms in 18 (3%), and 34 (6%) died. LVEF was the main variable independently associated with MACE (P < 0.05). LGE was associated with HF and VAs in patients with LVEF >35% (P < 0.05). A prediction model of MACE was developed using Cox regression, composed by age, sex, electrocardiography, cardiovascular risk factors, LVEF, and family aggregation. C-index was 0.72 (95% confidence interval: 0.67-0.75) in the derivation cohort and 0.72 (95% confidence interval: 0.71-0.73) in an external validation cohort. Patients with no electrocardiogram abnormalities, LVEF ≥50%, no LGE, and negative family screening presented no MACE at follow-up.
Conclusions:
LVNC is associated with an increased risk of heart failure and ventricular arrhythmias. LVEF is the variable most strongly associated with MACE; however, LGE confers additional risk in patients without severe systolic dysfunction. A risk prediction model is developed and validated to guide management.
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