Novel Composite Endpoint for Assessing Outcomes in Liver Transplantation: Arterial and Biliary Complication-Free

Eric Savier1, Yann De Rycke, Chetana Lim

  • 1Service de Chirurgie Digestive Hépato-Bilio-PancréatiqueTransplantation HépatiqueCentre Hospitalo-Universitaire Pitié-SalpêtriereAssistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris Sorbonne Université Paris France Centre de Recherche Saint-AntoineUnité Mixte de Recherche Scientifique-938Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition Sorbonne UniversitéInstitut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale Paris France Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique Sorbonne UniversitéInstitut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale Paris France Département de Santé Publique Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de ParisHôpital Pitié SalpêtrièreSorbonne Université Paris France Centre de Pharmacoépidémiologie (Cephepi) CHU Pitié-Salpêtrièrere, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (APHP), Sorbonne Université Paris France Département d'Informatique Médicale Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de ParisHôpitaux Universitaires Pitié Salpêtrière-Charles FoixSorbonne Université Paris France Centre Hépato-Biliaire Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris Hôpital Paul Brousse Villejuif France Department of Hepato-Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Hospital Universitari de BellvitgeInstitut d'Investigacio Biomedica de Bellvitge Barcelona Spain.

Insights

Arterial or biliary complications (ABC) within the first year after liver transplantation (LT) significantly impact transplant and patient survival. Arterial and biliary complication-free survival (ABCFS) is a reproducible metric for LT outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Hepatology
  • Transplantation Surgery
  • Clinical Outcomes Research

Background:

  • Liver transplantation (LT) success is typically measured by transplant and patient survival.
  • Arterial and biliary complications (ABC) are significant adverse events following LT.
  • Assessing novel metrics for LT outcomes is crucial for improving patient care and research.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate arterial and biliary complication-free survival (ABCFS) as a novel metric for assessing LT outcomes.
  • To determine the prognostic value of early ABCs on long-term transplant and patient survival.
  • To explore the correlation between ABCFS and established survival endpoints.

Main Methods:

  • Defined ABC as Dindo-Clavien grade ≥III arterial or biliary complications requiring intervention.
  • Calculated ABCFS as time from LT to first ABC, death, relisting, or last follow-up.
  • Analyzed data from a primary LT cohort (n=532) and extended cohorts (n=658), including external validation cohorts.
  • Utilized univariate and multivariate analyses to assess the impact of ABC on survival.

Main Results:

  • The majority of ABCs (93%) occurred within the first year post-LT.
  • First-year ABCs were independently associated with reduced transplant survival (HR 3.17) and patient survival (HR 2.7).
  • ABCFS demonstrated strong correlation with transplant and patient survival (ρ=0.85 and ρ=0.81, respectively).
  • 1-year ABCFS was indicative of 5-year transplant survival.

Conclusions:

  • Arterial and biliary complication-free survival (ABCFS) is a reproducible and valuable metric for evaluating liver transplantation outcomes.
  • Early post-transplant arterial and biliary complications are critical predictors of long-term survival.
  • ABCFS shows potential as a new endpoint in clinical trials for liver transplantation.

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