Association of Lumbar MRI Findings with Current and Future Back Pain in a Population-based Cohort Study

Richard Kasch1, Julia Truthmann2, Mark J Hancock3

  • 1Clinic for Orthopedics and Orthopedic Surgery, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany.

Spine
|August 18, 2021
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Common lumbar MRI findings are not clinically associated with low back pain (LBP). Most degenerative changes on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) do not predict future LBP severity, even with multiple findings.

Area of Science:

  • Orthopedics and Musculoskeletal Health
  • Radiology and Medical Imaging
  • Epidemiology and Public Health

Background:

  • The relationship between lumbar magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) degenerative findings and low back pain (LBP) remains unclear.
  • Longitudinal studies investigating this association are notably scarce in existing literature.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine associations between common lumbar degenerative changes on MRI and current or future LBP.
  • To determine if specific MRI findings predict the severity or progression of LBP over time.

Main Methods:

  • A population-based cohort study involving 3369 participants.
  • MRI scans were acquired at study entry; LBP status and severity (0-10 scale) were assessed at baseline and 6-year follow-up.
  • Regression models analyzed cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between individual/multiple MRI findings and LBP severity, with separate analyses for participants with and without baseline pain.

Main Results:

  • 76.4% of participants exhibited at least one MRI finding, and 8.3% had five or more.
  • Cross-sectionally, most MRI findings were slightly more prevalent in individuals with LBP.
  • Longitudinally, most MRI findings were not associated with future LBP severity. Multiple findings (≥5) were linked to mildly greater baseline pain and a greater increase in pain over 6 years in initially pain-free individuals, but not in those with baseline pain.

Conclusions:

  • The examined degenerative MRI findings, individually or combined, lack clinically significant associations with LBP.
  • Observed effects on pain severity were generally less than one unit on a 0-10 scale.
  • MRI findings alone may not be sufficient to explain or predict clinically relevant low back pain.