Data-driven identification of temporal glucose patterns in a large cohort of nondiabetic patients with COVID-19 using

Sejal Mistry1, Ramkiran Gouripeddi1, Julio C Facelli1

  • 1Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.

JAMIA Open
|August 19, 2021
PubMed

Insights

This study analyzed blood glucose in nondiabetic COVID-19 patients, revealing distinct glucose patterns. These patterns indicate subclinical dysfunction and increased risk for new-onset diabetes following infection.

Area of Science:

  • Endocrinology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Hyperglycemia is a known complication of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
  • It remains unclear if these glycemic changes are specific to certain patient groups or persist after COVID-19 recovery.
  • The role of COVID-19 in diabetes pathogenesis requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To characterize longitudinal random blood glucose levels in a large cohort of nondiabetic patients diagnosed with COVID-19.
  • To identify distinct patterns of glucose trajectories following COVID-19 infection.
  • To explore associations between glucose patterns and clinical factors.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized de-identified electronic medical records of 7502 nondiabetic COVID-19 patients.
  • Extracted glucose measurements, demographics, and clinical data before, during, and after COVID-19 diagnosis.
  • Applied unsupervised time-series clustering to identify glucose trajectory clusters and analyzed their associations with clinical variables.

Main Results:

  • Time-series clustering identified distinct glucose trajectory patterns.
  • Cluster membership significantly correlated with mortality, COVID-19 severity, and glucose levels.
  • In a more complex model, clusters also differed by age, sex, and new-onset diabetes mellitus.

Conclusions:

  • Identified distinct longitudinal blood glucose changes in nondiabetic COVID-19 patients.
  • Findings suggest subclinical glucose dysfunction and an increased incidence of new-onset diabetes.
  • Highlights the utility of data-driven approaches in understanding COVID-19's impact on glycemic control and potential role in diabetes pathogenesis.
Abstract