Cost evaluation of PAGE-B risk score guided HCC surveillance in patients with treated chronic hepatitis B

Martin F Sprinzl1,2, Christina Feist3, Sandra Koch3

  • 1Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany. martin.sprinzl@unimedizin-mainz.de.

Insights

The PAGE-B score helps identify chronic hepatitis B patients who can safely postpone hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening, reducing healthcare costs. This tailored ultrasound approach offers significant savings for both patients and healthcare systems.

Area of Science:

  • Hepatology
  • Oncology
  • Health Economics

Background:

  • Chronic hepatitis B (cHB) patients require regular screening for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
  • The PAGE-B score (Platelet Age Gender-HBV) identifies cHB patients with a low risk of developing HCC within 5 years.
  • Current screening protocols may lead to unnecessary costs for low-risk patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of implementing a PAGE-B score-tailored ultrasound screening strategy for cHB patients.
  • To determine potential cost reductions in HCC screening for cHB patients undergoing stable antiviral therapy.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of cHB patients attending a single center in 2018 was analyzed.
  • Patients were stratified into high, intermediate, and low HCC risk groups using the PAGE-B score (≥18, 10-17, ≤9 points, respectively).
  • Full costs of hepatic ultrasound examinations were assessed, including direct and indirect patient expenses.

Main Results:

  • Out of 607 cHB patients, 227 were eligible for PAGE-B scoring, with 94 (15.8%) in the low-risk group.
  • Sonographic HCC screening averaged 12.4 minutes per exam, costing €22.82, plus additional patient opportunistic costs (€15.6-€26.7).
  • A PAGE-B tailored screening approach reduced annual costs by 15.51% for cHB patients and 1.91% for the sonography unit.

Conclusions:

  • PAGE-B score-adapted screening is an efficient tool for reducing HCC screening costs in cHB patients on antiviral therapy.
  • This strategy allows Caucasian cHB patients in the low-risk group to postpone sonographic screening, optimizing resource allocation.
  • The implementation of PAGE-B tailored screening is cost-neutral and beneficial for managing healthcare expenses in cHB.
Abstract