A Longitudinal Cohort Study of Precocious Puberty and Autism Spectrum Disorder

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is defined by persistent deficits in communication, socialization, and stereotypic behaviors. It was previously hypothesized that hormone dysfunction is a frequent occurrence among children diagnosed with an ASD.

A hypothesis-testing epidemiological study examined the relationship between precocious puberty (PP) (a known disorder of childhood sex hormone dysfunction) and ASD diagnoses.

The Independent Healthcare Research Database is composed of de-identified linked eligibility and claims health-care records prospectively generated from the Florida Medicaid system. A cohort of 101,736 children eligible for Florida Medicaid from 1990 to 2009 and continuously eligible with ≥10 outpatient office visits during the 120-month period following birth were examined using SAS and StatsDirect software. There were 1,593 children (15,738 person-years) in the ASD diagnosed cohort utilizing the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th revision criteria (the International Code for Disease, 9th revision [ICD-9] codes: 299.00 or 299.80) and 100,143 children (996,835 person-years) in the undiagnosed cohort.

The incidence rate of PP (ICD-9 code: 259.1) was examined using Cox proportional hazards ratio (HR) and frequency models. PP per 10,000 person-years in the ASD cohort (43.2) relative to the undiagnosed cohort (13.7) was significantly increased in frequency modeling (risk ratio = 3.15, p < 0.0001) and Cox proportional HR modeling (adjusted HR = 4.64, p < 0.0001). Further analyses revealed the incidence rate of PP diagnosed after 3 years of age was significantly increased (adjusted HR = 5.16, p < 0.0001) in the ASD cohort relative to the undiagnosed cohort but not for the incidence rate of PP diagnosed before 3 years (adjusted HR = 1.57, p = 0.44).

This hypothesis-testing study provides strong evidence of an increased incidence rate of PP among children diagnosed with an ASD.