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Published on: December 19, 2019
The modification of cancer risk by chemicals
David J Harrison1, John E Doe2
1School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews KY16 9TF, UK.
Abstract:
Advances in understanding of the process of carcinogenesis have undermined the concept of chemicals being classifiable as either carcinogens or non-carcinogens. Elements of carcinogenesis are happening all the time and a proportion of cancers cannot be prevented, the 'bad luck hypothesis'. Although the proportion that can be prevented is disputed, it is important to continue efforts to reduce it. Factors that increase cancer risk have been grouped into intrinsic factors that cannot be modified, and endogenous and exogenous factors that can be modified. Chemicals are exogenous factors that can be modified by risk management measures. Chemicals can alter three key rates that influence cancer risk: cell division, mutation rate per cell division, transformation rate of mutated cells to cancer. These rates can form the basis of a dynamic cancer risk model, a generic, adverse outcome pathway for carcinogenesis where chemicals are considered for their ability to modify cancer risk rather than simply whether they are classed as carcinogens or non-carcinogens. This allows the development of different strategies for assessing cancer risk that use a range of data sources and are not dependent on using long-term bioassays and epidemiology to identify carcinogens. The framework will also allow difficult questions such as the effect of less than lifetime exposures and the effect of exposures to more than one chemical to be addressed.
Insights
The traditional view of carcinogens is outdated. A new dynamic cancer risk model focuses on how chemicals alter key cellular rates, enabling better risk assessment and management strategies.
Area of Science:
- Toxicology
- Carcinogenesis Research
- Risk Assessment
Background:
- The binary classification of chemicals as carcinogens or non-carcinogens is challenged by new insights into carcinogenesis.
- Cancer development involves continuous processes, with some cancers attributed to 'bad luck' (unpreventable factors).
- Cancer risk factors are categorized into unmodifiable intrinsic factors and modifiable endogenous and exogenous factors, including chemicals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a dynamic cancer risk model for evaluating chemicals based on their ability to modify cancer risk.
- To shift focus from classifying chemicals to understanding their impact on carcinogenesis pathways.
- To develop improved strategies for cancer risk assessment using diverse data sources.
Main Methods:
- Conceptualizing a dynamic cancer risk model based on an adverse outcome pathway for carcinogenesis.
- Identifying key cellular rates influenced by chemical exposures: cell division, mutation rate, and transformation rate.
- Integrating various data sources for risk assessment, moving beyond traditional long-term bioassays and epidemiology.
Main Results:
- Chemicals can be assessed by their capacity to alter critical rates in the carcinogenesis process.
- The proposed model allows for a more nuanced understanding of chemical impact on cancer risk.
- This framework facilitates addressing complex exposure scenarios, such as partial lifetime exposures and mixtures.
Conclusions:
- A dynamic cancer risk model offers a more effective approach to chemical risk assessment than traditional classification.
- This paradigm shift enables the development of targeted risk management measures for exogenous chemical factors.
- The model supports a broader range of data sources and addresses complex exposure scenarios in cancer risk evaluation.
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