Diagnostic prediction model in subjects with low-risk unstable angina pectoris/non-ST segment Elevation Myocardial
I Dakota1, M Munawar, R Pranata
1Department of Cardiology and Vascular Medicine, National Cardiovascular Center Harapan Kita, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia. iwandakota@gmail.com.
Insights
This study developed a prediction model using non-invasive tests and risk factors to detect coronary artery disease (CAD) severity in low-risk unstable angina pectoris/Non-ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (UAP/NSTEMI) patients. The model, including nitric oxide (NO), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), smoking history, and age-gender, shows diagnostic validity.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease Research
- Diagnostic Model Development
- Non-invasive Cardiovascular Assessment
Background:
- Coronary artery disease (CAD) diagnosis in low-risk patients with unstable angina pectoris (UAP)/Non-ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (NSTEMI) often requires invasive procedures.
- Developing accurate non-invasive prediction models can improve patient management and reduce healthcare costs.
- Identifying key non-invasive markers and cardiovascular risk factors is crucial for early CAD detection.
Purpose of the Study:
- To construct and validate a prediction model for CAD presence and severity.
- The model is based on non-invasive examinations and cardiovascular risk factors.
- The target population is patients presenting with low-risk UAP/NSTEMI.
Main Methods:
- A cross-sectional study involving 104 patients (60 men, 44 women; mean age 52.3 years).
- Two prediction models were developed using non-invasive data: Model 1 (NO, CIMT, smoking history, Age-Gender) and Model 2 (CIMT, smoking history, Age-Gender).
- Model performance was evaluated against coronary angiography, the gold standard, using AUC, sensitivity, and specificity.
Main Results:
- The main model (NO, CIMT, smoking history, Age-Gender) achieved an AUC of 74.5% (95% CI: 64.9-84.1), sensitivity of 72.7%, and specificity of 65.0%.
- The alternative model (CIMT, smoking history, Age-Gender) showed an AUC of 69.0% (95% CI: 58.9-79.1), sensitivity of 65.9%, and specificity of 56.7%.
- Both models demonstrated similar diagnostic prediction performance (p = 0.70).
Conclusions:
- Nitric oxide (NO), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), smoking history, and age-gender are valuable diagnostic predictors for CAD in low-risk UAP/NSTEMI patients.
- The developed non-invasive model offers a promising tool for assessing CAD presence and severity.
- These findings support the use of non-invasive markers in the initial evaluation of suspected CAD.
Objective:
This study aims to construct a prediction model based on non-invasive examination and cardiovascular risk factors, to predict the presence of coronary artery disease (CAD) and its severity in patients with low-risk unstable angina pectoris (UAP)/Non-ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (NSTEMI).
Patients And Methods:
This cross-sectional study aimed to assess the association between non-invasive examinations and cardiovascular risk factors in predicting CAD. Model constructed based on non-invasive assessment and cardiovascular risk factors was compared to coronary angiography, the reference standard.
Results:
This study included 104 patients, comprising 60 men and 44 women, who fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The mean age was 52.3 (6.8) years. Two diagnostic prediction models were constructed after series of analyses. The main model consists of NO, CIMT, history of smoking, and Age-Gender, while the alternative model consists of CIMT, history of smoking, and Age-Gender. The main model has AUC of 74.5% (95% CI: 64.9-84.1), sensitivity of 72.7% (95% CI: 57.2-85.0), specificity 65.0% (95% CI: 51.6 -76.9 for a cut-off point of 74.5. While the alternative model has 69.0% AUC (95% CI: 58.9-79.1), sensitivity of 65.9% (95%: 50.1-79, 5), a specificity of 56.7% (95% CI: 43.2-69.4) for a cut-off point of 69. The main model and the alternative model have similar diagnostic prediction performance based on the ROC comparison test (p = 0.70).
Conclusions:
Based on these results, we conclude that NO, CIMT, smoking history, and age-gender have a value of diagnostic validity in subjects with low-risk UAP/NSTEMI.
More Related Videos
07:25Predicting Amputation using Local Circulating Mononuclear Progenitor Cells in Angioplasty-treated Patients with Critical Limb Ischemia
Published on: September 22, 2020
06:16Signal Acquisition, Score Interpretation, and Economics of a Non-Invasive Point-of-Care Test for Coronary Artery Disease
Published on: August 9, 2024
Related Concept Videos
Acute Coronary Syndrome III: Diagnostic Studies
Angina III: Clinical Manifestations and Assessment
Acute Coronary Syndrome II: Pathophysiology and Clinical Manifestations
Imaging Studies for Cardiovascular System VI: Calcium -Scoring CT
Angina II: Classification
Acute Coronary Syndrome I: Introduction
