Day-by-Day Blood Pressure Variability in the Subacute Stage of Ischemic Stroke and Long-Term Recurrence

Kenji Fukuda1,2,3, Ryu Matsuo1,4, Masahiro Kamouchi4,5

  • 1Department of Medicine and Clinical Science (K.F., R.M., F.K., N.S., K.N., J.H., Y.W., T.A., T.K.), Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.

Stroke
|September 9, 2021
PubMed

Insights

Blood pressure variability during acute ischemic stroke recovery predicts long-term stroke recurrence. Higher blood pressure (BP) variation in the subacute stage increases the risk of future strokes.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Cardiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Acute ischemic stroke poses a significant risk for long-term recurrence.
  • Monitoring blood pressure (BP) during the subacute recovery phase is crucial for patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate if day-by-day blood pressure (BP) variability in the subacute stage predicts long-term stroke recurrence.
  • To establish the association between BP variability and recurrent stroke risk.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 7665 patients hospitalized for first-ever ischemic stroke.
  • Daily BP measurements during the subacute stage (4-10 days post-onset) to calculate mean and coefficient of variation (CV).
  • Prospective follow-up for recurrent stroke and all-cause death, analyzed using Kaplan-Meier, Cox proportional hazards, and Fine-Gray models.

Main Results:

  • Increased cumulative event rates for recurrent stroke and all-cause death correlated with higher systolic and diastolic BP CVs.
  • Systolic BP CV significantly associated with increased recurrent stroke risk (HR: 1.26 [1.05-1.50] for highest vs. lowest quartile).
  • Similar associations observed for diastolic BP CV, including nonfatal strokes and competing risks of death.

Conclusions:

  • Day-by-day blood pressure variability in the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke is a significant predictor of long-term recurrent stroke risk.
  • BP variability, not just mean BP, should be considered in post-stroke management strategies.
Abstract

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