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Spatial Distribution of COVID-19 in Nigeria
1Department of Community Medicine and Primary Care, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Sagamu, Ogun State, Nigeria.
West African Journal of Medicine
|September 9, 2021
Summary
Nigeria
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Spatial Analysis
- Public Health
Background:
- The first case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Nigeria was reported on February 27, 2020.
- By April 27, 2021, Nigeria had 164,756 confirmed COVID-19 cases, ranking fifth in Africa.
- The pandemic has significantly impacted public health and the economy in Nigeria.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the spatial distribution of COVID-19 cases in Nigeria.
- To identify significant spatial clusters of COVID-19.
- To ascertain factors associated with COVID-19 incidence in Nigeria.
Main Methods:
- Utilized secondary data on COVID-19 cases from February 27 to June 9, 2020.
- Employed Global and Local Moran's I tests for spatial cluster identification.
- Applied negative binomial regression to identify associated factors, with p < 0.05 considered significant.
Main Results:
- Lagos State was identified as a significant spatial cluster for COVID-19 (p < 0.05).
- Higher GDP per capita and lower literacy rates were significantly associated with increased COVID-19 cases.
- Population density, BCG coverage, and average temperature were not significantly associated with COVID-19 cases.
Conclusions:
- Lagos State is the primary hotspot for COVID-19 in Nigeria.
- States with lower literacy and higher GDP per capita reported more cases.
- Targeted interventions in Lagos and improved health literacy are crucial for disease control.
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