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CauchyCP: A powerful test under non-proportional hazards using Cauchy combination of change-point Cox regressions
Hong Zhang1, Qing Li1, Devan V Mehrotra2
1Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.
Abstract:
Non-proportional hazards data are routinely encountered in randomized clinical trials. In such cases, classic Cox proportional hazards model can suffer from severe power loss, with difficulty in interpretation of the estimated hazard ratio since the treatment effect varies over time. We propose CauchyCP, an omnibus test of change-point Cox regression models, to overcome both challenges while detecting signals of non-proportional hazards patterns. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that, compared to existing treatment comparison tests under non-proportional hazards, the proposed CauchyCP test (a) controls the type I error better at small levels (); (b) increases the power of detecting time-varying effects; and (c) is more computationally efficient than popular methods like MaxCombo for large-scale data analysis. The superior performance of CauchyCP is further illustrated using retrospective analyses of two randomized clinical trial datasets and a pharmacogenetic biomarker study dataset. The R package CauchyCP is publicly available on CRAN.