Metacommunity persistence to environmental change: Stabilizing and destabilizing effects of individual species...

Ecological communities face a high risk of extinction to climate change which can destabilize ecological systems. In the face of accelerating environmental change, understanding the factors and the mechanisms that stabilize the ecological communities is a central focus in ecology. Although dispersal has been widely used as an important stabilizing process, it remains unclear how individual species dispersal affects the stability and persistence of an ecological community. In this study, using a spatially coupled predator-prey community, we address the effects of individual species dispersal and nutrient enrichment on metacommunity stability in constant and varying environments. We show two contrasting effects of dispersal on metacommunity persistence in temporally constant and varying environments. Specifically, predator dispersal in constant environments shows stronger stability through inhomogeneous (asynchronized) states, whereas prey dispersal shows an increasing extinction risk through a homogeneous (synchronized) state. On the contrary, the metacommunity dynamics in temporally varying environments reveal that predator dispersal causes a local extinction through tracking unstable states and also a delayed shift between dynamical states. Moreover, our results emphasize that metacommunity persistence depends on individual species dispersal and environmental variations. Thus, our findings of the individual species dispersal can help to develop conservation measures that are tailored to varying environmental conditions.