Discrete dynamical models on Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquito populations with biased release ratios

Yantao Shi1,2, Bo Zheng1,2

  • 1College of Mathematics and Information Sciences, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.

Insights

Supplemental releases of mosquitoes infected with Wolbachia can influence spreading dynamics. Releasing infected males or females impacts Wolbachia persistence and population stability, offering insights for control strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Mathematical modeling
  • Population dynamics
  • Infectious disease ecology

Background:

  • Wolbachia is a bacterium that can reduce mosquito lifespan and alter reproductive success.
  • Controlling mosquito populations is crucial for managing vector-borne diseases.
  • Supplemental releases are a strategy to introduce or enhance Wolbachia presence.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the impact of supplemental releases of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes on population dynamics.
  • To compare the effects of releasing infected males versus infected females.
  • To analyze the stability of Wolbachia spreading dynamics under different release scenarios.

Main Methods:

  • Development of two discrete mathematical models for mosquito populations.
  • Analysis of model equilibria and their stability.
  • Numerical simulations to explore theoretical findings.

Main Results:

  • Models predict bistable or semi-stable dynamics based on the number of positive equilibrium points.
  • Unique positive equilibrium points demonstrate global asymptotic stability.
  • Release strategies influence Wolbachia persistence and population dynamics.

Conclusions:

  • Supplemental releases of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes can significantly alter population dynamics.
  • The choice of releasing infected males or females has distinct effects on Wolbachia spread.
  • Mathematical models provide valuable insights for optimizing Wolbachia-based mosquito control strategies.