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Hydroxychloroquine / azithromycin in COVID-19: The association between time to treatment and case fatality rate
Roberto Alfonso Accinelli1, Grisel Jesús Ynga-Meléndez2, Juan Alonso León-Abarca3
1Instituto de Investigaciones de la Altura. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru; Facultad de Medicina Alberto Hurtado, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru; Hospital Cayetano Heredia, Peru.
Insights
Early hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin treatment for COVID-19 outpatients may reduce mortality. Starting treatment within 72 hours of symptom onset was associated with lower case fatality rates in this study.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Pharmacology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- No formally accepted pharmacological treatments for COVID-19 currently exist.
- This study investigates the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin in treating COVID-19 outpatients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the factors associated with the case-fatality rate in COVID-19 outpatients treated with hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin.
- To evaluate the impact of treatment timing on COVID-19 patient outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective study of 1265 COVID-19 outpatients from Lima, Peru, treated between April 30 and September 30, 2020.
- Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with case-fatality.
- Data collected included patient demographics, SpO2, temperature, comorbidities, symptom duration, and treatment onset.
Main Results:
- The overall case fatality rate was 0.6%.
- Factors associated with higher case fatality included older age and lower SpO2.
- Crucially, no patient treated within the first 72 hours of illness died, and treatment onset was the only factor associated with case fatality in multivariate analysis.
Conclusions:
- The case fatality rate in COVID-19 outpatients treated with hydroxychloroquine/azithromycin is associated with the timing of treatment initiation.
- Early intervention (within 72 hours) appears to be a critical factor in improving outcomes for COVID-19 outpatients.
Background:
Currently, there is no formally accepted pharmacological treatment for COVID-19.
Materials And Methods:
We included COVID-19 outpatients of a Peruvian primary care center from Lima, Peru, who were treated between April 30 - September 30, 2020, with hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin. Logistic regression was applied to determine factors associated with case-fatality rate.
Results:
A total of 1265 COVID-19 patients with an average age of 44.5 years were studied. Women represented 50.1% of patients, with an overall 5.9 symptom days, SpO2 97%, temperature of 37.3 °C, 41% with at least one comorbidity and 96.1% one symptom or sign. No patient treated within the first 72 h of illness died. The factors associated with higher case fatality rate were age (OR = 1.06; 95% CI 1.01-1.11, p = 0.021), SpO2 (OR = 0.87; 95% CI 0.79-0.96, p = 0.005) and treatment onset (OR = 1.16; 95% CI 1.06-1.27, p = 0.002), being the latter the only associated in the multivariate analysis (OR = 1.18; 95% CI 1.05-1.32, p = 0.005). 0.6% of our patients died.
Conclusions:
The case fatality rate in COVID-19 outpatients treated with hydroxychloroquine/azithromycin was associated with the number of days of illness on which treatment was started.
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