Hydroxychloroquine / azithromycin in COVID-19: The association between time to treatment and case fatality rate

Roberto Alfonso Accinelli1, Grisel Jesús Ynga-Meléndez2, Juan Alonso León-Abarca3

  • 1Instituto de Investigaciones de la Altura. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru; Facultad de Medicina Alberto Hurtado, Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru; Hospital Cayetano Heredia, Peru.

Insights

Early hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin treatment for COVID-19 outpatients may reduce mortality. Starting treatment within 72 hours of symptom onset was associated with lower case fatality rates in this study.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Pharmacology
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • No formally accepted pharmacological treatments for COVID-19 currently exist.
  • This study investigates the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin in treating COVID-19 outpatients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the factors associated with the case-fatality rate in COVID-19 outpatients treated with hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin.
  • To evaluate the impact of treatment timing on COVID-19 patient outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective study of 1265 COVID-19 outpatients from Lima, Peru, treated between April 30 and September 30, 2020.
  • Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with case-fatality.
  • Data collected included patient demographics, SpO2, temperature, comorbidities, symptom duration, and treatment onset.

Main Results:

  • The overall case fatality rate was 0.6%.
  • Factors associated with higher case fatality included older age and lower SpO2.
  • Crucially, no patient treated within the first 72 hours of illness died, and treatment onset was the only factor associated with case fatality in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions:

  • The case fatality rate in COVID-19 outpatients treated with hydroxychloroquine/azithromycin is associated with the timing of treatment initiation.
  • Early intervention (within 72 hours) appears to be a critical factor in improving outcomes for COVID-19 outpatients.
Abstract

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