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Published on: March 2, 2015
Can we predict or prevent suicide?: An update.
1Professor Emeritus, Department of Psychiatry, McGill University;Institute of Community and Family Psychiatry, Sir Mortimer B. Davis-Jewish General Hospital;4333 Chemin de la Cote Ste. Catherine; Montreal, Québec H3T1E4, Canada.
Clinicians cannot reliably predict suicide fatalities, despite effective treatments reducing suicide attempts. Population-based strategies, like restricting access to lethal means, are more effective for suicide prevention than high-risk patient approaches.
Area of Science:
- Psychiatry
- Public Health
- Clinical Psychology
Background:
- A 2006 review examined empirical data on predicting suicide deaths and prevention.
- Further data updates this review, assessing the efficacy of clinical prediction and intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate current empirical evidence on the predictability of suicide fatalities by clinicians.
- To determine the effectiveness of clinical interventions in preventing suicide deaths.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review and meta-analysis of empirical research on suicide prediction and prevention.
- Analysis of data comparing treatment outcomes for suicide attempters versus those who die by suicide.
Main Results:
- Existing empirical data do not support the ability of clinicians to predict suicide fatalities.
- Psychotherapy and medication effectively reduce suicide attempts but not necessarily fatalities.
- Individuals who die by suicide are distinct from attempters; high-risk individuals may not seek treatment.
- Reducing access to lethal means shows the strongest evidence for suicide prevention.
Conclusions:
- Predicting suicide fatalities remains unsubstantiated by current research.
- Population-based suicide prevention strategies are more effective than individual-focused, high-risk approaches.
- Future research should focus on population-level interventions and understanding the distinct factors influencing suicide completion.
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