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Chronic Diseases as a Predictor for Severity and Mortality of COVID-19: A Systematic Review With Cumulative
JinSong Geng1, XiaoLan Yu1, HaiNi Bao1
1Department of Medical Informatics, Medical School of Nantong University, Nantong, China.
Insights
Chronic diseases significantly increase the risk of severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes, including intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality. Prioritizing care for these patients is crucial for pandemic control.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Internal Medicine
Background:
- The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic necessitates understanding risk factors for severe outcomes.
- Chronic diseases are prevalent globally and may influence COVID-19 prognosis.
Approach:
- A systematic review and cumulative meta-analysis were conducted.
- Searched major databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CINAHL) for observational studies.
- Included 217 studies from 26 countries, involving 624,986 COVID-19 patients (Dec 2019–Dec 2020).
Key Points:
- Hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cerebrovascular disease, chronic liver disease, chronic renal disease, and cancer are associated with increased COVID-19 severity, ICU admission, and mortality.
- Asthma showed a protective association with COVID-19 mortality.
- Obesity correlated with higher risk of severe symptoms but not necessarily mortality.
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 patients with pre-existing chronic conditions face elevated risks of severe illness, ICU admission, and death.
- Targeted, aggressive strategies are essential to prioritize and protect vulnerable populations with chronic diseases during the pandemic.
Abstract:
Introduction: Given the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the consequent global healthcare crisis, there is an urgent need to better understand risk factors for symptom deterioration and mortality among patients with COVID-19. This systematic review aimed to meet the need by determining the predictive value of chronic diseases for COVID-19 severity and mortality. Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Complete to identify studies published between December 1, 2019, and December 31, 2020. Two hundred and seventeen observational studies from 26 countries involving 624,986 patients were included. We assessed the risk of bias of the included studies and performed a cumulative meta-analysis. Results: We found that among COVID-19 patients, hypertension was a very common condition and was associated with higher severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and mortality. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was the strongest predictor for COVID-19 severity, admission to ICU, and mortality, while asthma was associated with a reduced risk of COVID-19 mortality. Patients with obesity were at a higher risk of experiencing severe symptoms of COVID-19 rather than mortality. Patients with cerebrovascular disease, chronic liver disease, chronic renal disease, or cancer were more likely to become severe COVID-19 cases and had a greater probability of mortality. Conclusions: COVID-19 patients with chronic diseases were more likely to experience severe symptoms and ICU admission and faced a higher risk of mortality. Aggressive strategies to combat the COVID-19 pandemic should target patients with chronic diseases as a priority.
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