Serum ANCA and Overall Mortality: A 10-Year Retrospective Cohort Study on 1,024 Italian Subjects

Antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) are primarily involved in the pathogenesis of ANCA-associated vasculitides (AAV). However, ANCA may also be present in healthy subjects and in patients with autoimmune disorders different from AAV. We hypothesized that serum ANCA are associated with a worse prognosis in disorders other than AAV.

We investigated the association between the overall survival and the presence of serum ANCA in 1,024 Italian subjects with various testing indications in a 10-year interval.

In this retrospective cohort study, a population of 6,285 patients (many of whom were subsequently excluded due to our criteria) who tested for ANCA at a single center in 10 years was considered, and life status and comorbidities of subjects were collected. We compared the overall survival of ANCA-positive and ANCA-negative patients by means of Kaplan-Meier curves, while a multivariable adjusted Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between the ANCA status and the outcome (death) in terms of hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

The positivity of perinuclear ANCA (pANCA) increased significantly mortality (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.10-2.32), while cytoplasmic ANCA (cANCA) positivity failed to show a significant association (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 0.77-2.68). The increased mortality rate was observed for both pANCA and cANCA in patients suffering from rheumatic disorders. No association was found between mortality and anti-MPO (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.20-2.00) or anti-PR3 (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.24-3.96) after adjusting for confounders.

Serum pANCA and cANCA are independent negative prognostic factors in patients with concurrent autoimmune diseases.