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Published on: June 12, 2021
Cardiac involvement in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and its incremental value in outcomes prediction
Payam Pournazari1, Alison L Spangler1, Fawzi Ameer1
1Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, USA.
Insights
COVID-19 infection can cause cardiac abnormalities, even in patients without prior heart disease. Echocardiography findings significantly improve prediction of mortality and need for ECMO support in these patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Acute COVID-19 infection has been linked to cardiac abnormalities in hospitalized patients.
- Limited data exists on cardiac structure and function abnormalities in COVID-19 patients before diagnostic imaging.
- Previous cardiovascular disease status is crucial for understanding COVID-19's cardiac impact.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate cardiac abnormalities in acute COVID-19 patients using cardiovascular imaging.
- To assess the contribution of imaging findings to clinical outcomes, including mortality and ECMO use.
- To identify predictors of in-hospital mortality and ECMO support using machine learning.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 724 hospitalized COVID-19 patients, excluding those with prior left ventricular systolic dysfunction.
- Review of health records and cardiovascular imaging studies (echocardiography).
- Application of machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality and ECMO requirement.
Main Results:
- In patients without prior cardiovascular disease, significant prevalence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction (3.4%), abnormal longitudinal strain (24%), diastolic dysfunction (20%), and right ventricular systolic dysfunction (18%) was observed.
- Moderate to large pericardial effusion was rare (0.4% each).
- Echocardiographic measurements significantly improved the predictive accuracy (AUC 0.91) for mortality and ECMO support when added to clinical and laboratory data.
Conclusions:
- Acute COVID-19 infection is associated with a notable incidence of cardiac dysfunction, even in individuals without a history of heart disease.
- Echocardiographic findings are critical independent predictors of adverse clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients.
- Integrating echocardiographic data into predictive models enhances their performance for identifying high-risk patients.
Abstract:
Recent reports linked acute COVID-19 infection in hospitalized patients to cardiac abnormalities. Studies have not evaluated presence of abnormal cardiac structure and function before scanning in setting of COVD-19 infection. We sought to examine cardiac abnormalities in consecutive group of patients with acute COVID-19 infection according to the presence or absence of cardiac disease based on review of health records and cardiovascular imaging studies. We looked at independent contribution of imaging findings to clinical outcomes. After excluding patients with previous left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction (global and/or segmental), 724 patients were included. Machine learning identified predictors of in-hospital mortality and in-hospital mortality + ECMO. In patients without previous cardiovascular disease, LV EF < 50% occurred in 3.4%, abnormal LV global longitudinal strain (< 16%) in 24%, and diastolic dysfunction in 20%. Right ventricular systolic dysfunction (RV free wall strain < 20%) was noted in 18%. Moderate and large pericardial effusion were uncommon with an incidence of 0.4% for each category. Forty patients received ECMO support, and 79 died (10.9%). A stepwise increase in AUC was observed with addition of vital signs and laboratory measurements to baseline clinical characteristics, and a further significant increase (AUC 0.91) was observed when echocardiographic measurements were added. The performance of an optimized prediction model was similar to the model including baseline characteristics + vital signs and laboratory results + echocardiographic measurements.
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