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Updated: Oct 18, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
Trends and Challenges for Population Health and Migration - China, 2015-2050
Yanan Luo1,2, Chao Guo1,2, Yiran Wang1,2
1Institute of Population Research, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Abstract:
What is already known about this topic?
Abstract:
Along with the quick change of society and health transformation, as well as the continued expansion of urbanization, the health risk and its variation of migrants in China would became more complicated.
Abstract:
What is added by this report?
Abstract:
Although a decreasing net migration flow trend was presented from 2015 to 2050, an increasing pace of aging and younger-age trend of migrants would pose serious challenges for population health in China. Deepening aging trend of migrants contributes to the increment of the disease burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and disabilities, and the upward trend of young-age migrant patients with infectious diseases remain a threat to the future intervention and prevention of infectious diseases.
Abstract:
What are the implications for public health practice?
Abstract:
Health policies to eliminate the adverse effects of migration on population health should pay more attention to meet the health care demands of highly vulnerable migrant populations, such as very older and very young migrants.
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