Associations between tumor mutations in cfDNA and survival in non-small cell lung cancer

Studies have indicated that detection of mutated KRAS or EGFR in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from pre-treatment plasma samples is a negative prognostic factor for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. This study aims to investigate whether this is the case also for NSCLC patients with other tumor mutations.

Tumor tissue DNA from 107 NSCLC patients was sequenced and corresponding pre-treatment plasma samples were analyzed using a limited target next-generation sequencing approach validated in this study. Patients without detected mutations in tumor samples were excluded from further analyses.

Mutations were detected in tumor samples from 71 patients. Median age was 68 years, 51% were female, and 88% were current/former smokers, 91% had adenocarcinoma, 4% had squamous cell carcinoma and 6% had other NSCLC. The distribution between stage I, II, III and IV was 33%, 8%, 30%, and 29%, respectively. Between one and three tumor mutation(s) were detected in ctDNA from corresponding plasma samples. Patients with detected ctDNA had shorter PFS (9.6 vs. 41.3 months, HR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.6-5.2, p = 0.0003) and OS (13.6 vs. 115.0 months, HR: 4.0, 95% CI: 2.1-7.6, p = 0.00002) than patients without detected ctDNA. ctDNA remained a significant negative prognostic factor for OS (HR: 2.5, 95% CI: 1.1-5.7, p=0.0327), but not PFS, in the multivariable analyses adjusting for baseline patient and disease characteristics including stage of disease.

This study adds further evidence supporting that detectable tumor mutations in cfDNA is associated with a worse prognosis in NSCLC harboring a variety of tumor mutations.