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Changing trends in rheumatoid arthritis mortality in Mexico, from 1998 to 2017
Ivet Morales-Etchegaray1, Mario Garcia-Carrasco1, Pamela Munguía-Realpozo1
1Department of Rheumatology, Medicine School, Meritorious Autonomous University of Puebla, Puebla, México.
Abstract:
The aim was to analyze the distribution and trends of deaths reported for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in Mexico in 1998-2017. We carried out a cross-sectional study. Data were obtained from Dynamic Cubes, General Direction of Health Information, on deaths related to RA in Mexico. Seropositive RA was diagnosed using the International Classification of Diseases version 10. Variables were categorized by diagnosis, age, and gender. Time trends of age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were analyzed for RA, and the annual percent change (APC) was estimated using Joinpoint trend analysis. We found 714 deaths mentioned as RA and 9,749,956 non-RA deaths between 1998 and 2017. Overall RA mortality decreased from 0.14 in 2004 to 0.04 per 100 000 in 2017 (APC: - 10.3%; 95% CI - 16.5%, - 3.3%), while the non-RA ASMR remained stable. In females, there was an initial increase of 27.3% per year through 1998-2004 and a reduction of - 11.7% per year subsequently, while in males, the APC remained stable between 1998 and 2017. The trend for RA mortality resulted in a cumulative change in the ratio of RA ASMR to non-RA ASMR of - 20.6% in females and + 3.2% in males. Although mortality attributable to RA increased from 1998 to 2004 in Mexico, it began to improve after 2004, particularly in females. Prospective, population-based data could help to identify risk factors that could be altered to improve outcomes.
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