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Validation of the 4-Item PRECISE-DAPT Score: A SWEDEHEART Study
Axel Wester1, Moman A Mohammad1, Göran Olivecrona1
1Department of Cardiology Clinical Sciences Lund UniversitySkåne University Hospital Lund Sweden.
Insights
The PRECISE-DAPT score moderately predicts bleeding risk in myocardial infarction patients but performs poorly in those with existing risk factors like age or low weight.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Risk Prediction
- Pharmacology
Background:
- The PRECISE-DAPT score predicts major bleeding post-myocardial infarction (MI) with percutaneous coronary intervention and dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT).
- Large-scale validation and real-world performance in high-risk patient subgroups remain under-evaluated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the PRECISE-DAPT score's predictive accuracy for major bleeding in a real-world MI population.
- To assess the score's discriminative ability in patients with pre-existing bleeding risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 66,295 patients from the SWEDEHEART registry undergoing PCI for MI (2008-2017).
- Evaluation of PRECISE-DAPT score's predictive value for rehospitalization due to major bleeding using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses.
- Stratification of performance based on pre-existing bleeding risk factors (elderly, underweight, etc.).
Main Results:
- A high PRECISE-DAPT score (≥25) was associated with a significantly increased risk of major bleeding (3.9% vs 1.8%, HR 2.2).
- The overall score demonstrated moderate discriminative ability (c-statistic=0.64).
- Performance was poor in elderly (c-statistic=0.57) and underweight (c-statistic=0.56) patients, with limited ability to stratify bleeding risk.
Conclusions:
- The PRECISE-DAPT score shows moderate predictive value in the general MI population.
- Its utility is limited in patients with pre-existing bleeding risk factors, indicating a need for refined risk assessment tools.
Abstract:
Background The Predicting Bleeding Complications in Patients Undergoing Stent Implantation and Subsequent Dual Antiplatelet Therapy (PRECISE-DAPT) score has been shown to predict out-of-hospital major bleeding after myocardial infarction treated with percutaneous coronary intervention and dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). However, large validation studies have been scarce and the discriminative ability for patients with a preexisting bleeding risk factor (elderly, underweight, women, anemia, kidney dysfunction, or cancer) in a real-world setting is unknown. Methods and Results Patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for myocardial infarction between 2008 and 2017 were included from the SWEDEHEART (Swedish Web System for Enhancement of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies) registry (n=66 295). The predictive value of the PRECISE-DAPT score for rehospitalization with major bleeding during dual antiplatelet therapy was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analyses. A high PRECISE-DAPT score (≥25; n=13 894) was associated with increased risk of major bleeding (3.9% versus 1.8%; hazard ratio [HR], 2.2; 95% CI, 2.0-2.5; P<0.001) compared with a non-high score (<25; n=52 401). The score demonstrated a c-statistic of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.63-0.66). The discriminative ability of the score to further stratify bleeding risk in patients with preexisting bleeding risk factors was poor, especially in patients who are elderly (c-statistic=0.57; 95% CI, 0.55-0.60) or underweight (c-statistic=0.56; 95% CI, 0.51-0.61), for whom a non-high PRECISE-DAPT score was associated with similar bleeding risk as a high PRECISE-DAPT score in the general myocardial infarction population. Conclusions In this nationwide population-based study, the PRECISE-DAPT score performed moderately in the general myocardial infarction population and poorly in patients with preexisting bleeding risk factors, where its usefulness seems limited.
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