Responses of surface O₃ and PM_2.5 trends to changes of anthropogenic emissions in summer over Beijing during...

Owing to the implementation of air pollution control actions, anthropogenic emissions in Beijing have changed in recent years. Understanding the impact of changes in anthropogenic emissions on O₃ and PM_2.5 trends is helpful for developing air quality management strategies. Herein, we investigated the variations of air pollutants in summer over Beijing using long-term data sets from 2014 to 2019, and explored the responses of O₃ and PM_2.5 trends to changes in anthropogenic emissions based on multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis and WRF-Chem model. The results indicated a significant decrease in PM_2.5, but a near constant level of O₃ during 2014-2019. The decrease rate of PM_2.5, which was lower than that of SO₂, might be due to the effect of NO₂ on atmospheric PM_2.5. Both the slightly increasing correlations between PM_2.5 and NO₂ and the WRF-Chem model simulations implied that atmospheric PM_2.5 in Beijing is trending to be more sensitive to NO_x than SO₂. The emissions of NO_x and VOCs from industry and transportation were found to make great contribution to O₃ production in Beijing. Due to the titration of NO_x in VOC-limited regime, the relatively low emission ratios of NO_x and VOCs from industry and transportation in Beijing provided convincing evidence for the persistently high O₃ concentrations during 2014-2019. However, the noticeable increase of the O₃ trends in other areas (e.g., Hebei, Tianjin) could be explained by the significant decline in the emission ratios of NO_x and VOCs from anthropogenic emissions especially industry during 2014-2019. Controlling the emission of NO_x can substantially reduce PM_2.5 pollution, but may aggravate O₃ pollution, and thus effective VOC emission control strategies need to be considered for simultaneously controlling O₃ and PM_2.5 pollution in Beijing and other regions of China.