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A Bayesian network meta-analysis regarding the comparative efficacy of therapeutics for ALK-positive, brain
Binghao Zhao1, Yan Han1, Yadong Wang2
1Departments of Neurosurgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, PR China; State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Science and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, PR China.
Abstract:
More clinical evidence is needed regarding the ranking priority of interventions for ALK-positive, brain metastatic (BM) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were identified. Progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR) and overall survival (OS) for the intended populations were analyzed with random effects, Bayesian network meta-analysis with the estimated hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) with 95% credible interval (95% CrIs). We included 11 RCTs (2687 NSCLC and 991 BM patients) investigating 7 treatments and 5 medication classes. For PFS for BM patients, lorlatinib (hazard ratio (HR): 0.01, 95% CrI: 0.001-0.12), alectinib (HR: 0.05, 95% CrI: 0.01-0.21) and brigatinib (HR: 0.07, 95% CrI: 0.007-0.76) were top-ranking individual treatments; for ORR for BM patients, brigatinib, lorlatinib and alectinib were top-ranking treatments. For PFS for all NSCLC patients, the top-ranking individual treatments were lorlatinib (HR: 0.05, 95% CrI: 0.02-0.13), alectinib (HR: 0.09, 95% CrI: 0.05-0.18) and brigatinib (HR: 0.11, 95% CrI: 0.05-0.28). For OS for all NSCLC patients, we found that no individual treatments were superior to chemotherapy, whereas the following top-ranking interventions were alectinib (HR: 0.29, 95% CrI: 0.03-1.68), lorlatinib (HR: 0.41, 95% CrI: 0.04-4.13), and ceritinib (HR: 0.63, 95% CrI: 0.10-4.25). The results of individual treatments and medication classes were similar. Data were limited in regard to subgroup analyses and adverse events of BM patients. Lorlatinib has the most statistical superiority for BM patients, but ORR differences between third- and second-generation inhibitors are not obvious. All things considered, alectinib is recommended as first-line treatment, followed by lorlatinib, especially after developing drug resistance to alectinib.
Insights
For ALK-positive brain metastatic non-small cell lung cancer, lorlatinib and alectinib show superior progression-free survival. Alectinib is recommended as a first-line treatment, followed by lorlatinib, particularly upon developing resistance.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Pharmacology
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- ALK-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with brain metastases (BM) presents unique treatment challenges.
- Prioritizing interventions for ALK-positive NSCLC with BM requires robust clinical evidence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the efficacy of various treatments for ALK-positive NSCLC, with a focus on patients with brain metastases.
- To establish a ranking of interventions based on progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and overall survival (OS).
Main Methods:
- A Bayesian network meta-analysis was conducted on data from 11 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving 2687 NSCLC patients and 991 with BM.
- Efficacy outcomes including PFS, ORR, and OS were analyzed using hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) with 95% credible intervals (CrIs).
Main Results:
- For BM patients, lorlatinib, alectinib, and brigatinib demonstrated top-ranking PFS. Brigatinib, lorlatinib, and alectinib were also top-ranked for ORR in BM patients.
- For all NSCLC patients, lorlatinib, alectinib, and brigatinib ranked highest for PFS. No individual treatment surpassed chemotherapy for OS, though alectinib, lorlatinib, and ceritinib showed promising trends.
- Lorlatinib exhibited the highest statistical superiority for BM patients, but ORR differences between third- and second-generation inhibitors were not significant.
Conclusions:
- Alectinib is recommended as the preferred first-line treatment for ALK-positive NSCLC, especially with brain metastases.
- Lorlatinib is a recommended subsequent treatment option, particularly for patients who develop resistance to alectinib.
- Further research is needed to analyze subgroup data and adverse events in BM patients.
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