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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
COVID-19 in Multiple Sclerosis: Clinically reported outcomes from the UK Multiple Sclerosis Register
R M Middleton1, E M Craig1, W J Rodgers1
1Population Data Science, School of Medicine, Singleton Park, Swansea University, SA2 8PP, United Kingdom.
COVID-19 outcomes in people with Multiple Sclerosis (MS) were analyzed. Severe disability and older age increased hospitalization and mortality risk, while disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) showed no adverse association.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
Background:
- The United Kingdom Multiple Sclerosis Register (UKMSR) initiated an electronic data collection system in March 2020 to track COVID-19 in people with Multiple Sclerosis (pwMS).
- This system was developed in collaboration with MS neurologists to ensure accurate data capture.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of disability, age, and disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) on hospital admission and mortality rates in pwMS diagnosed with COVID-19.
- To compare outcomes between the first and second waves of the pandemic.
Main Methods:
- Anonymized data from clinical teams were analyzed using regression models to identify predictors of hospitalization and mortality.
- Separate analyses were conducted to compare outcomes during the first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Main Results:
- Univariable analysis indicated that increasing age, male gender, comorbidities, severe disability, and progressive MS were associated with higher risks of hospitalization and mortality, with severe disability showing the strongest link.
- Multivariable analysis identified only age and male gender as significant predictors for adverse outcomes.
- Hospitalization and mortality rates were lower during the second wave compared to the first wave.
Conclusions:
- Risk factors for poor COVID-19 outcomes in people with MS are similar to those in the general population.
- Disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) were not associated with adverse outcomes in pwMS with COVID-19.
- Mortality rates for pwMS with COVID-19 appeared lower during the second wave of the pandemic.
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