Association Between Polygenic Risk Score and the Progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's Disease

Hongliang Liu1,2, Michael Lutz3, Sheng Luo4

  • 1Duke Cancer Institute, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.

Abstract

Insights

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) predict Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). PRS also correlate with cognitive decline and key AD biomarkers, offering potential for early prediction.

Area of Science:

  • Neuroscience
  • Genetics
  • Gerontology

Background:

  • Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a complex condition with a significant risk of progressing to Alzheimer's disease (AD).
  • Identifying predictive markers for AD progression in MCI patients is crucial for timely intervention.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the association between polygenic risk scores (PRS) and the time to AD progression from MCI.
  • To assess PRS correlations with longitudinal cognitive changes and AD-related biomarkers (cerebrospinal fluid and imaging).

Main Methods:

  • Constructed PRS using 40 independent non-APOE single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from Alzheimer's Disease Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS).
  • Tested PRS association with MCI to AD progression in 767 MCI patients from ADNI and 1373 from NACC studies.
  • Analyzed PRS association with cognitive scores, CSF biomarkers (tau, p-tau, Aβ42), and neuroimaging (amyloid PET, hippocampal volume).

Main Results:

  • PRS significantly predicted MCI to AD progression in both ADNI (p=0.003) and NACC (p=0.009) cohorts.
  • PRS correlated with increased cognitive impairment scores (ADAS-Cog), elevated tau/p-tau, and amyloid burden, but reduced hippocampal volume.
  • Mediation analysis indicated Aβ42 partially mediates the effect of PRS on AD risk.

Conclusions:

  • Polygenic risk scores are valuable predictors of AD progression and clinical changes following MCI diagnosis.
  • PRS may aid in identifying MCI patients at higher risk for developing Alzheimer's disease.

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