Risk Prediction Models for Inadvertent Intraoperative Hypothermia: A Systematic Review

Inadvertent intraoperative hypothermia (core temperature <36°C) is a common surgical complication with several adverse events. Hypothermia prediction models can be a tool for providing the healthcare staff with information on the risk of inadvertent hypothermia. Our systematic review aimed to identify, demonstrate, and evaluate the available intraoperative hypothermia risk prediction models in surgical populations.

This study is a systematic review of literature.

We systematically searched multiple databases (Ovid MEDLINE, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Center Register of Controlled Trials). Two reviewers independently examined abstracts and the full text for eligibility. Data collection was guided by the CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS checklist), and methodological quality and applicability were assessed by the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST).

A total of 3,672 references were screened, of which eight articles were included in this study. All the models had a high risk of bias since most of them lacked model validation. Also, they failed to report the model performance and final model presentations, which restricted their clinical application.

The researchers should present models in a more standard way and improve the existing models to increase their predictive values for clinical application.