A Fuzzy Neural Network Model for Rapid Prediction of Optimal Positive Airway Pressures in OSAS Patients

Manual titration of positive airway pressure (PAP) is a gold standard to provide an optimal pressure for the treatment of obstructive sleep apnea-hypopnea syndrome (OSAS). Since manual titration studies were costly and time-consuming, many statistical models for predicting effective PAPs were reported. However, the prediction accuracies of the models associated with nocturnal parameters still remain low. This study proposes a fuzzy neural prediction network (FNPN) with input candidate variables, selected among easily available measurements (e.g., body mass index (BMI), waist circumstance (WC), and body composition) and OSAS related questionnaires, to rapidly predict an optimal PAP. The FNPN comprises fuzzy rules and is characterized with the ability of automatic rule growing and pruning from training data. A total of 147 participants from April 2018 to April 2019 were enrolled in Taichung Veterans General Hospital, Taiwan. After two selection processes for feature extraction, WC and BMI were the significant variables for entering the FNPN to predict optimal PAP. Experimental results showed that the average successful prediction rate of the proposed method was 71.8%. This study also found that Epworth sleepiness scales (ESS) and body composition, such as visceral fat area and percent body fat, were excluded in the final prediction model. Compared with existing models, the proposed prediction approach provided a rapid prediction of optimal PAP with higher accuracy.