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Association of total pre-existing comorbidities with stroke risk: a large-scale community-based cohort study from
Ya Zhang1,2, Cuicui Wang1,2, Dong Liu1,2
1School of Public Health, Medical College of Soochow University, 199 Ren'ai Rd., Suzhou, 215123, China.
Insights
The number of pre-existing comorbidities independently increases stroke risk. A combination of older age and multiple comorbidities significantly elevates stroke occurrence, highlighting comorbidities as key stroke prevention indicators.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Cardiovascular Disease Research
- Public Health
Background:
- Comorbidities, or coexisting diseases, are known to increase stroke mortality.
- The specific association between pre-existing comorbidities and the risk of developing a stroke requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the association between eight pre-existing comorbidities and the risk of stroke.
- To investigate the combined effect of age and comorbidities on stroke risk.
Main Methods:
- A prospective community-based cohort study of 16,246 adults in China.
- Baseline survey in 2013, with follow-up via hospitalization records and death registry until 2020.
- Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the association of eight comorbidities with stroke risk.
Main Results:
- Over a median follow-up of 5.5 years, 449 participants developed a stroke.
- Hypertension, congenital heart disease, previous stroke, and diabetes were independently associated with increased stroke risk.
- Having one or more comorbidities significantly increased stroke risk (HR 1.96 and 2.87, respectively).
Conclusions:
- The number of pre-existing comorbidities is independently associated with an increased risk of stroke.
- A synergistic effect exists between increased age and a higher number of comorbidities on stroke occurrence.
- Pre-existing comorbidities are important indicators for stroke prevention strategies.
Background:
Comorbidities, any other coexisting diseases in patients with a particular index disease, are known to increase the mortality of a stroke. However, the association of pre-existing comorbidities with stroke risk has not been fully studied.
Methods:
This study included 16,246 adults from a prospective community-based cohort with a baseline survey conducted in 2013 in China. Participants were followed up with hospitalization records and the Cause of Death Registry. The association of eight pre-existing comorbidities (coronary heart disease, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, diabetes, previous stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, nephropathy, and cancer) with stroke risk was analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard model in 2020.
Results:
At a median follow-up of 5.5 years, a total of 449 participants (206 men and 243 women) developed a stroke. Four pre-existing comorbidities (hypertension, congenital heart disease, previous stroke, and diabetes) were independently and positively associated with the risk for all types of stroke. The adjusted hazard ratios for participants with only 1 and ≥ 2 pre-existing comorbidities compared with those without pre-existing conditions were 1.96 (95% CI: 1.44, 2.67; P < 0.001) and 2.87 (95% CI; 2.09, 3.94; P < 0.001) for total stroke, respectively. Moreover, male and female participants with a combination of increased age and a higher number of pre-existing comorbidities experienced the greatest risk of stroke.
Conclusions:
The number of pre-existing comorbidities was independently associated with an increased risk of stroke. There was a synergic effect between increased age and a higher number of pre-existing comorbidities on stroke occurrence. Our novel findings emphasize the importance and potential application of pre-existing comorbidities as a risk indicator in stroke prevention.
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