Comparison of Prognostic Scoring Systems to Predict Durable Pain Relief After Microvascular Decompression for...

Microvascular decompression (MVD) is an effective treatment for trigeminal neuralgia, but pain recurs in a substantial minority of patients. Two recently published scoring systems by Hardaway et al. and Panczykowski et al. use simple preoperative clinical and imaging features to predict durable pain relief following MVD, but their predictive performance has not been independently validated. This study aimed to compare predictive performance of the Hardaway et al. score (HS) and Panczykowski et al. score (PS) for 1-year, 3-year, and long-term pain-free outcomes after MVD for trigeminal neuralgia.

HS and PS were computed for a retrospective, single-institution cohort of 68 patients with trigeminal neuralgia who underwent MVD. Primary outcome was pain recurrence after MVD. Predictive performance of HSs and PSs was evaluated with area under the curve sensitivity analysis and regression models for survival analyses at 1 year, 3 years, and last follow-up.

Area under the curve for predicting pain-free outcome was higher for PS versus HS at 1 year (0.873 vs. 0.775) and 3 years (0.793 vs. 0.704). Cox proportional hazard models showed that PS better predicted long-term pain-free outcomes compared with HS (P < 0.05). One-year pain-free outcome was best predicted by pain type; longer-term outcomes were better predicted by presence and degree of neurovascular compression on preoperative imaging.

PS is superior to HS in predicting pain-free outcomes after MVD, which may aid in patient selection and counseling. Overall, more significant neurovascular compression of the trigeminal nerve root, and to a lesser extent classical paroxysmal pain, are good predictors of durable pain relief after MVD.