Fitting thermodynamic-based models: Incorporating parameter sensitivity improves the performance of an evolutionary algorithm

A detailed comprehension of transcriptional regulation is critical to understanding the genetic control of development and disease across many different organisms. To more fully investigate the complex molecular interactions controlling the precise expression of genes, many groups have constructed mathematical models to complement their experimental approaches. A critical step in such studies is choosing the most appropriate parameter estimation algorithm to enable detailed analysis of the parameters that contribute to the models. In this study, we develop a novel set of evolutionary algorithms that use a pseudo-random Sobol Set to construct the initial population and incorporate parameter sensitivities into the adaptation of mutation rates, using local, global, and hybrid strategies. Comparison of the performance of these new algorithms to a number of current state-of-the-art global parameter estimation algorithms on a range of continuous test functions, as well as synthetic biological data representing models of gene regulatory systems, reveals improved performance of the new algorithms in terms of runtime, error and reproducibility. In addition, by analyzing the ability of these algorithms to fit datasets of varying quality, we provide the experimentalist with a guide to how the algorithms perform across a range of noisy data. These results demonstrate the improved performance of the new set of parameter estimation algorithms and facilitate meaningful integration of model parameters and predictions in our understanding of the molecular mechanisms of gene regulation.