A Comprehensive Model to Predict Atrial Fibrillation in Cryptogenic Stroke: The Decryptoring Score

Alberto Vera1, Alberto Cecconi1, Álvaro Ximénez-Carrillo2

  • 1Cardiology Department, Hospital Universitario de La Princesa, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. IIS-IP, CIBER-CV, Madrid, Spain.

Insights

A new Decryptoring score accurately predicts atrial fibrillation (AF) in cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients. This tool aids in selecting secondary prevention strategies for cryptogenic stroke, improving patient outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Neurology
  • Medical Diagnostics

Background:

  • Cryptogenic stroke (CS) accounts for up to 30% of ischemic strokes (IS).
  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) is detected in up to 30% of CS cases, necessitating effective detection methods for secondary prevention.
  • Current diagnostic tools lack comprehensive predictive capabilities for AF in CS.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate the Decryptoring score, a novel predictive tool for AF detection in patients with CS.
  • To integrate clinical conditions, biomarkers, and left atrial strain (LAS) into a single predictive score.
  • To guide secondary prevention strategies in cryptogenic stroke patients.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective recruitment of 63 patients with IS or transient ischemic attack (TIA) and ABCD2 score ≥ 4.
  • Collection of clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic data, including LAS.
  • 15-day wearable Holter-ECG monitoring for AF detection.
  • Development of the Decryptoring score using univariate and multivariant analyses.

Main Results:

  • Atrial fibrillation was detected in 24% of patients.
  • Key predictors for AF included age > 75, hypertension, elevated Troponin T and NTproBNP, and reduced LAS reservoir and conductivity.
  • The Decryptoring score demonstrated high predictive accuracy (AUC 0.94), significantly outperforming the AF-ESUS score (AUC 0.65).
  • Patients with scores < 10 had 0% AF detection, while those with scores > 35 had 80% AF detection.

Conclusions:

  • The novel Decryptoring score accurately predicts AF in patients with cryptogenic stroke.
  • This score has the potential to guide secondary prevention strategies.
  • Further validation in an independent cohort is required before clinical implementation.
Abstract