Joint modelling and simulation of M-protein dynamics and progression-free survival for alternative isatuximab dosing

Hoai-Thu Thai1, Nadia Gaudel2, Marc Cerou1

  • 1Translational Disease Modeling, Data and Data Science, Sanofi, France.

Abstract

Insights

Adding isatuximab to pomalidomide/dexamethasone improves progression-free survival in multiple myeloma. Serum M-protein changes predict survival, and simulations suggest a monthly isatuximab dose may reduce benefits.

Area of Science:

  • Hematology
  • Clinical Pharmacology
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) remains a challenge.
  • Isatuximab combined with pomalidomide/dexamethasone (Pd) demonstrated improved progression-free survival (PFS) in the ICARIA-MM trial.
  • Understanding M-protein kinetics is crucial for predicting treatment outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the relationship between serum M-protein kinetics and PFS in RRMM patients treated with isatuximab plus Pd.
  • To evaluate a potential alternative monthly dosing regimen for isatuximab via simulation.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 256 RRMM patients in the ICARIA-MM trial comparing isatuximab (Isa) plus Pd versus Pd alone.
  • Developed a joint model to analyze serum M-protein dynamics and PFS.
  • Conducted trial simulations to assess efficacy of a modified Isa dosing schedule.

Main Results:

  • Serum M-protein slope was the strongest on-treatment predictor of PFS.
  • Baseline factors like albumin, beta2-microglobulin, and non-IgG myeloma type influenced M-protein kinetics.
  • Simulations indicated a monthly Isa regimen after 6 months could shorten median PFS by 2.3 weeks and lead to earlier progression in 42.3% of patients.

Conclusions:

  • The approved weekly-then-biweekly isatuximab regimen is supported by simulations.
  • Switching to a monthly isatuximab dose after 6 months may decrease overall clinical benefit.
  • Selected patients with favorable prognosis and stable response might tolerate a monthly regimen without increased progression risk, warranting further investigation.

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