Failure to restore CD4+ cell count associated with infection-related and noninfection-related cancer

To assess incidence and relative risk of cancer in Sweden, by HIV status, from 1988 to 2017.

Population-based register study.

From the Swedish Total Population Register, all people born between 1940 and 2000 (n = 8 587 629), and resident in Sweden sometime 1983-2017 were identified and linked to National HIV Register InfCareHIV, National Cancer Register, and LISA database. We present incidence and adjusted hazard ratios (adjHR) of infection and noninfection-related cancer for three periods between 1988 and 2017.

Incidence and relative risk of infection-related cancer decreased but remained higher in people with HIV (PWH) than in HIV-negative. The proportion attributable to infection remained higher in PWH than in HIV-negative (44 vs. 9%). Women with HIV had lower risk of infection-related cancer than men with HIV [adjusted hazard ratio (adjHR) 0.6, 95% CI 0.4-0.9], mainly driven by lower incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma (adjHR 0.1, 95% CI 0.0-0.4). Current viral suppression (adjHR 0.3, 95% CI 0.2-0.5) was associated with lower risk of infection-related cancer. Current CD4+ cell count less than 200 cells/μl was associated with both infection-related (adjHR 15.3, 95% CI 10.7-21.8) and noninfection-related cancer (adjHR 2.5, 95% CI 1.5-4.1), as was CD4+ cell count increases less than 100 cells/μl post antiretroviral therapy (ART) (infection-related cancer adjHR 6.6, 95% CI 4.2-10.6, noninfection-related cancer adjHR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2-3.3).

Current CD4+ cell count and failure to restore CD4+ cell count both associated with infection and noninfection-related cancer. Viral suppression associated with lower risk of infection-related cancer. Early HIV detection and early adherent ART remain essential for cancer prevention.