Machine Learning Prediction of the Three Main Input Parameters of a Simplified Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic...

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling has the potential to play significant roles in estimating internal chemical exposures. The three major PBPK model input parameters (i.e., absorption rate constants, volumes of the systemic circulation, and hepatic intrinsic clearances) were generated in silico for 212 chemicals using machine learning algorithms. These input parameters were calculated based on sets of between 17 and 65 chemical properties that were generated by in silico prediction tools before being processed by machine learning algorithms. The resulting simplified PBPK models were used to estimate plasma concentrations after virtual oral administrations in humans. The estimated absorption rate constants, volumes of the systemic circulation, and hepatic intrinsic clearance values for the 212 test compounds determined traditionally (i.e., based on fitting to measured concentration profiles) and newly estimated had correlation coefficients of 0.65, 0.68, and 0.77 (p < 0.01, n = 212), respectively. When human plasma concentrations were modeled using traditionally determined input parameters and again using in silico estimated input parameters, the two sets of maximum plasma concentrations (r = 0.85, p < 0.01, n = 212) and areas under the curve (r = 0.80, p < 0.01, n = 212) were correlated. Virtual chemical exposure levels in liver and kidney were also estimated using these simplified PBPK models along with human plasma levels. These results indicate that the PBPK model input parameters for humans of a diverse set of compounds can be reliability estimated using chemical descriptors calculated using in silico tools.