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Making spatial-temporal marine ecosystem modelling better - A perspective.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are crucial for ocean science but are underutilized due to a lack of validation and technical issues. Addressing these challenges can improve their policy relevance and sustainable ocean management.

Keywords:
Capacity buildingOpinionSpatial-temporal marine ecosystem modellingSystematic model calibrationSystematic skill assessments

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Area of Science:

  • Marine ecology
  • Oceanography
  • Ecological modeling

Background:

  • Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are vital for understanding marine ecosystem dynamics and supporting sustainable ocean management.
  • The UN Decade of Ocean Science emphasizes deploying complex MEMs for policy and societal engagement.
  • Current MEMs face challenges in validation, calibration, and uncertainty quantification, hindering their credibility and adoption.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the reasons behind the underutilization of MEMs in policy and societal dialogues.
  • To identify the gap between proposed solutions for model assessment and their systematic implementation.
  • To propose a cost-effective and scalable solution to enhance the usefulness of MEMs.

Main Methods:

  • Literature review and analysis of proposed solutions for model assessment.
  • Identification of technical barriers hindering the systematic deployment of MEMs.
  • Conceptualization of a simplified approach to address model complexity.

Main Results:

  • A significant gap exists between theoretical solutions for assessing MEMs and their practical application.
  • Technical issues, often overlooked in the literature, are a primary cause of this gap.
  • Existing proposed solutions for MEM assessment are not systematically deployed.

Conclusions:

  • Formal validation, calibration, and uncertainty quantification are critical for increasing MEM credibility and policy uptake.
  • Addressing overlooked technical issues is essential for bridging the gap in MEM deployment.
  • A simple, cost-effective, and scalable conceptual solution is proposed to improve the utility of complex marine ecosystem models.