Smoking signature is superior to programmed death-ligand 1 expression in predicting pathological response to...

There is a paucity of biomarkers that can predict the degree of pathological response [e.g., pathological complete response (pCR) or major response (pMR)] to immunotherapy. Neoadjuvant immunotherapy provides an ideal setting for exploring responsive biomarkers because the pathological responses can be directly and accurately evaluated.

We retrospectively collected the clinicopathological characteristics and treatment outcomes of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who received neoadjuvant immunotherapy or chemo-immunotherapy followed by surgery between 2018 and 2020 at a large academic thoracic cancer center. Clinicopathological factors associated with pathological response were analyzed.

A total of 39 patients (35 males and 4 females) were included. The most common histological subtype was lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC) (n=28, 71.8%), followed by lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) (n=11, 28.2%). After neoadjuvant treatment, computed tomography (CT) scan-based evaluation showed poor agreement with the postoperatively pathological examination (weighted kappa =0.0225; P=0.795), suggesting the poor performance of CT scans in evaluating the response to immunotherapy. Importantly, we found that the smoking signature displayed a better performance than programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in predicting the pathological response (area under the curve: 0.690 vs. 0.456; P=0.0259), which might have resulted from increased tumor mutational burden (TMB) and/or microsatellite instability (MSI) relating to smoking exposure.

These findings suggest that CT scan-based evaluation is not able to accurately reflect the pathological response to immunotherapy and that smoking signature is a superior marker to PD-L1 expression in predicting the benefit of immunotherapy in NSCLC patients.