National Surveillance for Acute Flaccid Myelitis - United States, 2018-2020

Insights

Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) cases decreased significantly in 2020, deviating from the expected biennial pattern. Enterovirus D68 was not detected in 2020 cases, suggesting different causes for the decline in acute flaccid myelitis.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) is a severe neurologic condition affecting children, often following viral infections.
  • National surveillance identified biennial peaks in US AFM cases in 2014, 2016, and 2018.
  • An increase in AFM cases was anticipated for 2020 based on the observed biennial pattern.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the epidemiology of confirmed AFM cases reported to the CDC from 2018 to 2020.
  • To investigate the demographic, clinical, and laboratory features of AFM during this period.
  • To understand the reasons for the deviation from the expected biennial pattern in 2020.

Main Methods:

  • Review of demographic, clinical, and laboratory data from national AFM surveillance.
  • Analysis of confirmed AFM case counts for 2018, 2019, and 2020.
  • Detection of Enterovirus D68 (EV-D68) in patient specimens.

Main Results:

  • Confirmed AFM cases dropped from 238 in 2018 to 47 in 2019 and 32 in 2020.
  • Enterovirus D68 was detected in 37 cases in 2018 but only one in 2019 and none in 2020.
  • Cases in 2019-2020 involved older children and had less upper limb, febrile, or respiratory involvement compared to 2018.

Conclusions:

  • The decline in AFM cases in 2020 and the absence of EV-D68 suggest a change in etiology.
  • The anticipated biennial increase did not occur in 2020, making future AFM patterns unpredictable.
  • Clinicians must remain vigilant for acute flaccid limb weakness, especially after recent febrile or respiratory illness.