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Published on: December 11, 2019
Smart Cardiac Framework for an Early Detection of Cardiac Arrest Condition and Risk
Apeksha Shah1, Swati Ahirrao1, Sharnil Pandya1
1Computer Science Department, Symbiosis Institute of Technology, Symbiosis International (Deemed University), Pune, India.
Insights
This study enhances cardiac arrest prediction using real-time sensor data and machine learning. A Decision Tree model achieved 98% accuracy, offering an economical and precise method for cardiovascular disease risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology and Health Informatics
- Machine Learning Applications in Healthcare
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses a significant global health challenge, with accurate prediction of events like cardiac arrest remaining difficult.
- Existing healthcare datasets may yield erroneous predictions, necessitating the use of real-time data for improved accuracy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an accurate and economical system for predicting cardiovascular disease risk using real-time data.
- To introduce novel gender-based and age-wise risk classification approaches for survival probability assessment.
Main Methods:
- Collected real-time data using sensors and stored it on Google Firebase.
- Classified data using six machine learning algorithms: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest Classifier (RFC), Gradient Boost Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), and Decision Tree (DT).
- Employed Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression survival analysis for risk detection and classification, including gender- and age-specific models.
Main Results:
- The Decision Tree (DT) algorithm achieved an overall accuracy of 98% for cardiac risk prediction on the collected dataset.
- The novel gender-based and age-wise risk classification models accurately predicted survival probabilities.
- The proposed system offers a cost-effective alternative to existing prediction systems.
Conclusions:
- Real-time data collection and machine learning, particularly the Decision Tree algorithm, significantly enhance the accuracy of cardiac risk prediction.
- The developed gender- and age-specific models provide valuable tools for healthcare professionals to assess individual patient risk and survival probability.
- The proposed system presents an economical and effective solution for improving cardiovascular disease risk management.
Abstract:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is considered to be one of the most epidemic diseases in the world today. Predicting CVDs, such as cardiac arrest, is a difficult task in the area of healthcare. The healthcare industry has a vast collection of datasets for analysis and prediction purposes. Somehow, the predictions made on these publicly available datasets may be erroneous. To make the prediction accurate, real-time data need to be collected. This study collected real-time data using sensors and stored it on a cloud computing platform, such as Google Firebase. The acquired data is then classified using six machine-learning algorithms: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest Classifier (RFC), Gradient Boost Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) classifier, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes (NB), and Decision Tree (DT). Furthermore, we have presented two novel gender-based risk classification and age-wise risk classification approach in the undertaken study. The presented approaches have used Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression survival analysis methodologies for risk detection and classification. The presented approaches also assist health experts in identifying the risk probability risk and the 10-year risk score prediction. The proposed system is an economical alternative to the existing system due to its low cost. The outcome obtained shows an enhanced level of performance with an overall accuracy of 98% using DT on our collected dataset for cardiac risk prediction. We also introduced two risk classification models for gender- and age-wise people to detect their survival probability. The outcome of the proposed model shows accurate probability in both classes.
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