Anticoagulation therapy in patients with post-operative atrial fibrillation: Systematic review with meta-analysis

Post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a relevant complication after surgery. Several studies have shown that POAF has important consequences for long-term morbidity and mortality, by increasing the risk of thromboembolic events. However, the use of oral anticoagulation (OAC) is not well established in this context.

We searched MEDLINE, CENTRAL, PsycInfo and Web of Science for clinical trials and observational studies evaluating anticoagulation vs. no anticoagulation in patients with POAF (after cardiac or non-cardiac surgery). Data were screened and extracted by two independent reviewers. We performed a random- effects model to estimate the pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI), and heterogeneity was evaluated by I² statistics. The outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality, thromboembolic events, and bleeding events.

Overall, 10 observational retrospective studies were included: 5 studies with 203,946 cardiac surgery POAF patients, and 5 studies with 29,566 patients with POAF after non-cardiac surgery. In cardiac surgery POAF, the OAC use was associated with lower risk of thromboembolic events (OR 0.68; 95%CI 0.47-0.96, I² = 31%; 4 studies) and the bleeding risk was significantly increased (OR 4.30; 95%CI 3.69 to 5.02, 1 study). In non-cardiac surgery POAF, OAC did not significantly reduce the risk of thromboembolic events (OR 0.71, 95%CI 0.33-1.15; I² = 79%; 5 studies) but was associated with increased risk of bleeding (OR 1.20, 95%CI 1.10-1.32, I² = 0%; 3 studies). Mortality was not significantly reduced in both cardiac and non-cardiac surgery POAF.

Oral anticoagulation was associated with a lower risk of thromboembolic events in patients with POAF following cardiac surgery but not in non-cardiac surgery. Bleeding risk was increased in both settings. The confidence on pooled results is at most low, and further data, namely randomized controlled trials are necessary to derive robust conclusions.